DFS Lineups, DFS Value Plays, Fantasy Sleepers

Pat’s Picks; NBA DFS (Main – 02/12/19)

Today I’ll start a series called ‘Pat’s Picks’, where I’ll highlight my top choices that you should put into some or all of your lineups. My picks will cover both FanDuel and DraftKings.

Here are today’s games, with the lock time set at 7:30 P.M.:

Lakers @ Hawks (7:30 P.M.)
Magic @ Pelicans (8:00 P.M.)
Spurs @ Grizzlies (8:00 P.M.) (I only like one player from this game…)
Celtics @ 76ers (8:00 P.M.)
Jazz @ Warriors (10:30 P.M.)

Without further ado…

Kenrich Williams NOP

(Image courtesy of The Advocate staff. Photo taken by Scott Threlkeld.)

SG/SF Kenrich Williams, New Orleans Pelicans ($4,900 on DK, $6,400 on FD)

Williams has been highly impressive of late, scoring double-digit points as well as upping his rebounding over the last 3 games. He consistently sees 35+ minutes and has heavily increased his production since seeing starter minutes.

He faces the Orlando Magic tonight – not a bad defense, but with Williams’ new role in the offense, he contributes across the board too much to not insert into your lineup. He put up his first career double-double in his last game (99-90 loss to Memphis, a top defense), and he’s a threat to put up double-doubles on a nightly basis with his current usage.

On DraftKings, Williams is one of my top locks. He’s cheap and should get at least 30+ DK points tonight. On FanDuel, his $6,400 price tag has me second-guessing him.. but he’s still an amazing play (he’s a SF on FD). Orlando’s Jonathan Isaac could cause a few turnovers as he’s a pretty consistent defender, but Williams to me is almost a guaranteed 30+ fantasy point play tonight.

SG/SF Jonathan Isaac, Orlando Magic ($5,100 on DK; $6,400 on FD)

Another player who is priced way lower than they ought to be. I’m surprised Isaac hasn’t reached the $6,000+ range on DK yet; at $5,100, Isaac is a fantastic play against a mediocre Pelicans’ defense allowing a whopping 115 points per game to opposing teams.

Isaac has been scoring 25+ DK points in his last 8 games, and has had multiple blocks in his last 6! Isaac is able to stuff the stat sheet, notching steals and blocks while adding to his floor with his rebounding totals. He’ll be a fine play tonight against the Pelicans – preferably on DK, but his defensive abilities justify his $6,400 price tag on FanDuel as well.

Expect a solid 25-30+ from Isaac.

SF/PF Kyle Kuzma, Los Angeles Lakers ($6,000 on DK; $6,700 on FD)

Over 38 DK points in his last two games, Kuzma is geared for another solid night as he takes on a weak Hawks’ frontcourt.

The presence of LeBron James as one of the game’s top facilitators has been a major factor in Kuzma’s scoring emergence of late. Don’t expect huge contributions in other areas outside of maybe rebounding, but if Kuzma can score 20+ points he’s bound to provide value. I’d be surprised if Kuzma was kept under 35 fantasy points on either DK or FD tonight.

SF/PF Tobias Harris, Philadelphia 76ers ($6,600 on DK; $7,200 on FD)

I think Harris is going to be low-owned with the trio of Ben Simmons, Jimmy Butler and Joel Embiid commanding a higher percentage of ownership by players tonight. With the Celtics down Kyrie Irving tonight, Boston’s defensive attention will likely be spread too thin and allow Harris to slip through the cracks.

Of course Harris isn’t the top option on this high-powered offense, but his modest rebounding and assist totals make him very likely to hit value tonight. Boston is a good defensive team, but when they’re down Irving they’re playing from behind. I’m liking almost every 76er tonight including J.J. Redick, but I think Harris will help some people get some serious cash tonight.

C JaVale McGee, Los Angeles Lakers ($4,800 on DK; $6,300 on FD)

I like his price on DK a lot. Atlanta’s weak in the frontcourt, and I think McGee provides amazing value on both DK and FD despite his $1,500 increase on the latter.

McGee put up a 20-point double double against the 76ers, who had both Harris and Embiid on defense; the Hawks have John Collins and a combination of Dwayne Dedmon and Alex Len. I’m not too worried about McGee meeting his floor, but of course it’s dependent on him maintaining the 27.5 minutes/game average he’s seen over his last two games.

I’d be surprised if McGee gave less than 25 fantasy points on either platform.

C Joakim Noah, Memphis Grizzlies ($4,000 on DK; $3,700 on FD)

Okay, so a little caveat; C Jonas Valanciunas is available to debut for the Grizzlies tonight after his immigration paperwork cleared (Valancuinas previously playing for the Toronto Raptors before being traded). HOWEVER….. I still like Noah tonight. He should see a solid ~25 minutes even with Valanciunas in the fold tonight, as the latter is recovering from a thumb injury he sustained in December. Valanciunas is expected to play as a backup to PF/C Ivan Rabb for the time being.

Noah saw 30 minutes against the Pelicans this past Sunday, with the veteran turning back the clock and putting up a strong double-double (19 points, 14 rebounds and 3 assists). Even if Noah only sees a max of 25 minutes, he’ll easily meet his minimal price tag (which, weirdly, is cheaper on FD). Expect around 25-30 fantasy points out of Noah tonight.

NOTE: This is probably the only player I’d play from either team in the Spurs-Grizzlies matchup. This will be mostly a defensive contest. Studs like DeMar DeRozan, LaMarcus Aldridge and Mike Conley are going to be hard-pressed to match their usual point totals; I’d hold off on relying on players from this contest.